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Are UK Marketers Smarter Than Premier League Managers?

Filed under: Digital Marketing,Direct Marketing,Marcomms,Uncategorized,eCRM — Tags: Brand, General Consulting, Marcomms — Ian J MacDonald @ 2:14 pm

“I know half of my advertising doesn’t work…I just don’t know which half!”

John Wanamaker


So we all know the marketer’s quandary. How to attribute conversions and success back to media accurately. Now sure I know there are many more tools available today to try and decipher the riddle, like econometrics, cross visit participation, outright asking users how they heard of your site. But can anyone, hand on heart, say that they know the exact contribution and RoI from all their media?

Here’s a bit of fun for a Friday!

It often strikes me that media is lot like football. In a football team, players work together, in concert, to achieve two broad common objectives – score goals, minimise goals conceded.

In a marketing campaign, media work together, in concert, to achieve broad common objectives – such as increase market share and block out competitors.

Football players, like media, have different jobs to do. Can we map the roles?

Football roles and their media equivalents

Let’s look at some goals to explore this idea.
Extending my analogy we could say that this is an example of TV (defender) ‘winning the ball’ ie generating awareness, and then perhaps frequency being built by exposure to outdoor, and radio, (a pass from midfielder Fabregas to midfielder Nasri) culminating in PPC (forward, Arshavin) converting a brand or brand+generic search because it was a great shot but he was in the right place, at the right time. Just like appearing in the SERPs at the right time to harvest latent consideration caused by ad exposure frequency.

If we looked at a different goal, say a midfielder scoring from range, I would say this is a user clicking through on a display ad. A rare thing, but it does happen! A midfielder who creates and scores goals himself is like a great DR display campaign.

What is the point I am trying to make? Well, on average, who is best paid in a football team? Below is the average salary for different roles in a Premier League football team according to a PFA survey in 2006. OK, a bit of date! It’s probably twice or three times this now, but it’s still true that strikers are paid more than defenders for example. If you were to apply the same ‘attribution’ to a marketing budget of £10M, I have shown what your breakdown would be. Looking a bit heavy on PPC! Does that mean that managers are suffering from last clickitus?

John Terry - the TV of football

John Terry is like a great TV campaign, primarily winning the ball (awareness) yet contributing with goals (direct response to website)

Filippo Inzaghi the PPC of football

A player like Filippo Inzaghi, a legendary poacher in the box, would be the PPC or SEO of football, converting chances (consideration) created by midfielders (online display).

Premier League Football salaries by position

The fact is, we will never know the whole story of what contributes to a conversion, just as we never really know who contributes to a football victory. It’s the sum of the parts and has a million influencing factors. But one thing is certain. No one ever won a football match by putting out eleven strikers. No one ever won a match putting out eleven defenders. You should be tailoring your mix according to your sector, market position and strategic objectives.

Evolved marketing is about testing, learning and refining. Every now and then, eliminate a media from the mix and observe the results. In this way you can arrive at stats like the one that says that over 50 games, Arsenal averaged 2.1 points when Fabregas played, but only 1.75 when he didn’t play. Sure, still fallible, and many other factors may be involved, but more robust than instinct alone. Can you replicate this type of insight in your media mix?

Lastly, before we beat ourselves up about attribution, if you looked at UK adspend by media ‘forwards’ only represent about 18% of the total mix, so you could say marketers are actually doing a better job of attribution than Premiership football managers, with equally mystifying attribution problems to solve. What do you think? Does treating your marketing campaign like a football match make it more fun!?

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8 Responses to “Are UK Marketers Smarter Than Premier League Managers?”

  1. Chase Watts Says:
    October 19th, 2011 at 3:06 pm

    Great post! Keep up the awesome work!

  2. Reba Tilly Says:
    October 23rd, 2011 at 8:04 pm

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  3. Karmen Provencio Says:
    October 27th, 2011 at 9:11 am

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    November 1st, 2011 at 6:51 pm

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    November 24th, 2011 at 2:49 pm

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    January 28th, 2012 at 2:05 am

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  7. Hoa Says:
    January 29th, 2012 at 9:59 am

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  8. carrie Says:
    January 29th, 2012 at 7:26 pm

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The Importance of Timeliness and Agility in Direct Marketing

Filed under: Direct Marketing,Marcomms,eCRM — Ian J MacDonald @ 9:03 pm

How Arsenal FC Broke a Golden Rule

It’s with sadness that I have to turn to one of my great loves for an example of poor marketing – Arsenal FC. But if we can learn lessons, let’s do just that!

For those not interested in football, Arsenal FC have been without a trophy for 6 years now. This is due to a number of factors which are not the focus of this blog, but the takeout is  that faithful fans have been putting up with the most expensive tickets in the Premier League since the move from Highbury to The Emirates and no trophies. And fans love trophies!

Arsenal Ecstasy and Agony Arsenal have had a topsy turvy season of ecstasy and agony – how does this affect their customers responsiveness?

The Lesson

To the lesson. Arsenal were having a good season this year but since losing the Carling Cup Final in February to a last minute shambles of a goal, their season has really gone to   pot. Going into a huge match against league leaders Manchester United on 1st May, they had won only 1 game in their past 9 in all competitions, and gone from a position of being   able to win 4 trophies, to being practically able to win none.  A glimmer of hope appeared   on that May Sunday when Arsenal managed to overcome the likely eventual champions Manchester United at home 1-0. A massive result that gave the Arsenal faithful something  to smile about for the first time in months. Perhaps this season’s collapse was a blip. Perhaps manager Arsene Wenger’s ‘youth policy’ really will bear fruit soon.

Sadly, the following Sunday Arsenal were soundly beaten by Stoke of all teams, 3-1 in a timid and shambolic performance.

Timeliness of Communications

So if you were in charge of sending out membership and season ticket renewal packs (with the cheery news of a 6.5% price hike), when would you time your communication? If you answered immediately after the crushing final nail in the coffin at Stoke, we need to talk.

The point is, there was a time less than a week earlier when the audience were feeling positive. They were feeling receptive to the club and the way it is run. That was the window of opportunity to maximise response and renewals.

Influence the Things You Can

As marketers, it’s vital that we are flexible in our approach. We need to be planning direct communications in windows wherever possible, not fixed dates. Because we just can’t control macro factors or even some micro factors which have an influence on our audience’s receptiveness.

The golden rules of direct marketing are there for a reason – because they increase ROI. Relevant, Targeted, Timely. This was relevant. This was targeted. But it wasn’t timely.

The window of receptiveness in this case was the 7 days following the Manchester United game.   Presumably however, the comms plan said a certain date for renewal packs and that date was stuck to. Rigidly. That’s not evolved marketing.

Evolved marketing is making sure you have the set up in place to react and tailor plans as much as possible because you never know what is coming, and you certainly can’t control it. Of course, it is not always so easy in practice. Lead times and in the case of Direct Mail postal time are difficult to account for. It’s not practical to tear up your carefully cultivated creatives over every occurrence. Nor should you, maybe it’s just a copy tweak that’s required or a slight timing change. But wherever possible, make your plans agile and flexible. Take account of factors affecting the success of you campaign whether you control them or not. You never know when that window of opportunity for a killer relevant, timely communication will appear – or disappear, as Arsenal FC found out. When it appears, be set up to dive through that window. When it disappears, think again before you pull the trigger on that campaign.

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One Response to “The Importance of Timeliness and Agility in Direct Marketing”

  1. Michael Chambers Says:
    May 23rd, 2011 at 12:43 pm

    Could not agree more, makes perfect sense. Maybe you could pop into the Emirates and advise them on this, and also have a word with Mr Wenger about spending a little cash this summer – it’s not your money Arsene.

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The Importance of Continuity Planning And The Voice Of the Customer – Just Ask Sony

Filed under: Marcomms,eCRM — Tags: Brand, General Consulting, Marcomms, PR — Ian J MacDonald @ 1:00 pm

By now everyone is aware of the data breach of Sony’s Playstation Network. I say by now, because this time last week you might not have been. Millions of online gamers, myself included, found the Playstation Network ‘unavailable’ since 19th April, with no real explanation given. A technical hitch of some sort? We should be so lucky.

When the full horror of the situation emerged, that actually Sony had been the victim of potentially the biggest data security breach in history, it was almost a full week later. Almost a full week.

Given the fact that usernames, emails, passwords and most crucially (potentially) credit card details had been lost, this represents an absolutely unacceptable delay. With so many online accounts for users to manage these days, people often use the same password across multiple accounts for ease of memory. So when an email and password for one account is compromised, the security risk is like a pebble thrown in a pond. And the ripples aren’t pretty. Victims of the monster.co.uk data breach a few years ago will remember finding their facebook and twitter accounts posting spam and virus laden links to their peer network, if they shared a password across monster and twitter or facebook.

Sony may or may not be to blame for the hacking attack. But what they are definitely guilty of, is poor continuity planning and even poorer customer focus.

The damage to the brand has been amplified by the poor crisis communications strategy. Sony’s official line is that they had to find out whether user data had actually been lost before communicating. Sorry, that’s not good enough. If there’s even a chance of it, they should have comunicated ASAP.

Speak For Your Customers
In the war room that no doubt was hastily assembled at Sony HQ on the 19th, where was the customer champion? Who was the one in the room representing customers? I’ve been in similar situations, and whilst technology teams might want to keep shtum and put collective heads int he sand, as marketers it is our role to say that is absolutely not acceptable. Especially now, with platforms like Facebook, Twitter, and blogs. Customers can ask questions directly and quickly. A good customer focussed brand needs to answer them. Swift communication is not only key to protecting the brand, but is also frankly non-negotiable. To not give customers the warning to change their passwords on other accounts until 6 days later is utterly unacceptable.

What We Can Learn From This
The lesson in all this is two fold. Number One, make sure you have continuity plans in place, with solid and accountable action plans. If the worst happened over a bank holiday weekend for your brand, what would happen? Do you know who would do what, and when? If you don’t, you are putting yourself in a vulnerable position. Number two, be the voice of the customer. I often preach that everyone in a business is a marketer in some way. Everyone has the power to influence an element of the marketing mix, whether that’s the guy who cleans the washroom influencing physical evidence or IT team influencing product reliability. But as marketers, we really are the ones who should have the customer at the front of our minds, and speak for them. It might not always be popular in the boardroom (or the war room) but customers pay the bills, and any brand which disrespects that, will regret it at their leisure.

Never be afraid to be the one who says, “if I was a customer, would 6 days in the dark be acceptable to me?” If it wouldn’t be, don’t let it be so. Someone at Sony should have put the customer first and insisted on customer communication as an order of absolute priority. It’s not the crisis which is remembered – it’s how a brand dealt with it. In this case, that’s not good news for Sony.

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