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Are UK Marketers Smarter Than Premier League Managers?

Filed under: Digital Marketing,Direct Marketing,Marcomms,Uncategorized,eCRM — Tags: Brand, General Consulting, Marcomms — Ian J MacDonald @ 2:14 pm

“I know half of my advertising doesn’t work…I just don’t know which half!”

John Wanamaker


So we all know the marketer’s quandary. How to attribute conversions and success back to media accurately. Now sure I know there are many more tools available today to try and decipher the riddle, like econometrics, cross visit participation, outright asking users how they heard of your site. But can anyone, hand on heart, say that they know the exact contribution and RoI from all their media?

Here’s a bit of fun for a Friday!

It often strikes me that media is lot like football. In a football team, players work together, in concert, to achieve two broad common objectives – score goals, minimise goals conceded.

In a marketing campaign, media work together, in concert, to achieve broad common objectives – such as increase market share and block out competitors.

Football players, like media, have different jobs to do. Can we map the roles?

Football roles and their media equivalents

Let’s look at some goals to explore this idea.
Extending my analogy we could say that this is an example of TV (defender) ‘winning the ball’ ie generating awareness, and then perhaps frequency being built by exposure to outdoor, and radio, (a pass from midfielder Fabregas to midfielder Nasri) culminating in PPC (forward, Arshavin) converting a brand or brand+generic search because it was a great shot but he was in the right place, at the right time. Just like appearing in the SERPs at the right time to harvest latent consideration caused by ad exposure frequency.

If we looked at a different goal, say a midfielder scoring from range, I would say this is a user clicking through on a display ad. A rare thing, but it does happen! A midfielder who creates and scores goals himself is like a great DR display campaign.

What is the point I am trying to make? Well, on average, who is best paid in a football team? Below is the average salary for different roles in a Premier League football team according to a PFA survey in 2006. OK, a bit of date! It’s probably twice or three times this now, but it’s still true that strikers are paid more than defenders for example. If you were to apply the same ‘attribution’ to a marketing budget of £10M, I have shown what your breakdown would be. Looking a bit heavy on PPC! Does that mean that managers are suffering from last clickitus?

John Terry - the TV of football

John Terry is like a great TV campaign, primarily winning the ball (awareness) yet contributing with goals (direct response to website)

Filippo Inzaghi the PPC of football

A player like Filippo Inzaghi, a legendary poacher in the box, would be the PPC or SEO of football, converting chances (consideration) created by midfielders (online display).

Premier League Football salaries by position

The fact is, we will never know the whole story of what contributes to a conversion, just as we never really know who contributes to a football victory. It’s the sum of the parts and has a million influencing factors. But one thing is certain. No one ever won a football match by putting out eleven strikers. No one ever won a match putting out eleven defenders. You should be tailoring your mix according to your sector, market position and strategic objectives.

Evolved marketing is about testing, learning and refining. Every now and then, eliminate a media from the mix and observe the results. In this way you can arrive at stats like the one that says that over 50 games, Arsenal averaged 2.1 points when Fabregas played, but only 1.75 when he didn’t play. Sure, still fallible, and many other factors may be involved, but more robust than instinct alone. Can you replicate this type of insight in your media mix?

Lastly, before we beat ourselves up about attribution, if you looked at UK adspend by media ‘forwards’ only represent about 18% of the total mix, so you could say marketers are actually doing a better job of attribution than Premiership football managers, with equally mystifying attribution problems to solve. What do you think? Does treating your marketing campaign like a football match make it more fun!?

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8 Responses to “Are UK Marketers Smarter Than Premier League Managers?”

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Are B2B and B2C Dead? Is It Now All About B2P?

Filed under: Direct Marketing,Social Media — Ian J MacDonald @ 8:45 pm

The below is a preview of the keynote I will deliver at the Innovation in Communication conference, Thursday 23 May 2011, London UK.

Edited highlights from the presentation are below.

Definition – what do we mean by B2P?

When I received this brief, I decided to ask around some fellow professionals what they understood by the term B2P. I also did some reading on the internet, and it quickly became clear that actually there are a number of different views on what B2P really means.   Do we mean;

  1. Improved technology and systems enabling dynamic personalised communications?
  2. That web 2.0 has destroyed boundaries between B2B audiences and B2C audiences and created one single audience of people?
  3. Social Media, social proof and the availability of information means contextual peer recommendation is more important than what a brand says?
  4. And therefore, that creating advocacy amongst key peers and influencers online has become more important than push marketing?
  5. Social Media enabling interactive relationships with audiences?

Actually, we mean all these things. B2P is an approach which finally recognizes that our audience are people, like us, and seeks to make the most of this opportunity through new technology and platforms. There is no doubt that Social Media, along with other trends such as mobile, is the future. But does that mean B2C and B2B will become redundant in favour of B2P?

The Argument For B2P Replacing B2B and B2C

This chart, based on a Business.com 2009 survey, shows that in fact both B2B and B2C marketers are making use of the same channels of social media. In fact, B2B marketers are more active on the whole than B2C. If marketers on both sides of the fence are making use of Social Media and frequently, the same platforms, does this not suggest the beginnings of a homogenous approach?

Audience convergence is another argument for a holistic approach. In the past, we had our consumers (B2C), and our business customers (B2B), neatly divided and so we could speak to each separately, most of time and with the exception of ATL media such as TV. In more recent times through technology we were able to market to them as individuals – you could say the beginnings of B2P. An example of this is Amazon’s dynamic suggestions tools. But nevertheless audiences remained separate.

However, the advent of Social Media has meant that audiences have merged – they can see what a brand is saying and doing to other audiences, and even more interestingly, they can see what those other audiences think of the brand too. A brand can’t forbid a business customer from becoming a fan on facebook and interacting with that brand’s public customers for example. This is often an uneasy situation for the brand! Crucially, people, be they B2C or B2B customers, now enjoy interactive, transparent and direct relationships both with brands and with each other. So why separate them out if they have naturally grouped themselves?

The issue of audience cross over is not new. Ask Gerald Ratner whose business forum speech intended for the IoD audience in 1991 destroyed his empire when consumers didn’t find it funny that he described his products (and thusly their possessions) as ‘crap’. But, in a Social Media world, it’s more pronounced than ever.

The Argument Against B2P Replacing B2B and B2C

Differences in B2B and B2C marketing

The table above demonstrates the fundamental differences between the two audiences and disciplines which will not go away. Ditching B2B and B2C convention might be fine, if Social were the only game in town. But it isn’t. Take a look at Pepsi to see the role that traditional communications still play.

In 2010, Pepsi boldly announced that they were going to spend 50% of their branding budget in Social Media. They even passed up the chance to advertise during the Superbowl for the first time in 15 years. Meanwhile Coke continued investing in product placement in American Idol and superbowl spots. This bold move unfortunately resulted in Pepsi losing 2nd place for market share to Diet Coke for the first time in years. In 2011, Pepsi are relying again on TV and interestingly – product placement in American X Factor. Well, if you can’t beat ‘em…..

Although the basics of Social Media strategy can be easily applied to either B2C or B2B activities, as Social Media marketing matures from infancy, there are defining trends emerging in each sphere. In the consumer space, the driving trend will most definitely be towards Social Commerce – that is, group buying power and recommendation which is dependent on a large number of buyers being available.  Look no further than Mark Zuckerberg: “If I had to guess, the next thing to blow up will be Social Commerce”. Of course he has a vested interest in that being true, but with brands like GAP announcing sales of $11 million through Groupon, it’s hard to argue with him. (Note that if GAP had not built a brand through traditional media they couldn’t have achieved this, to the earlier Pepsi point).

The AIDA model of advertising has been in use since 1898, invented by E. St. Elmo Lewis and has been a rough conversion funnel for almost any product or service ever since, with minor variations.

However what Elmo could never have dreamt possible, would be that any one individual could have access to peer opinions of such quantity that they were statistically robust, within milliseconds. This brings us an additional step which is becoming more and more important to all people – ‘recommendation’ – but this is much more so for a B2C context as scale is required.  eConsultancy found that 90% of all purchases are now subject to social influence. Of course, they always were, you could ask your friend or your brother their opinion. But the ready availability of many, many opinions via Social Media explodes the relevancy of recommendation.

In the B2B space, the defining trend will be toward transparency and deep, ‘always on’ relationships.

These two trends are arguably different sides of the same coin, but they are nevertheless distinct approaches in their own right.

John Butler, former Head of communications at Dunnhumby, is already stating that Demographic targeting is dead and that Social targeting is where it’s at. His research has found that demographic targeting produces an average 2% response, whilst purchase based targeting elicits a 50% response. But purchase based targeting with social targeting or context – an enormous  80% average response

Over on the B2B side, the driving trend is more towards transparency and interactive relationship building through thought leadership. Social Media has broken down the walls between those inside the business and those outside. We regularly try to encourage a social culture throughout my current organisation. Twitter takeovers with key senior directors (previously not customer facing) is just one example, as is a personalised response from customer services when an unhappy tweet mentions the brand. With this approach, isn’t the real evolution within B2B going to be P2P, not B2P? We want to treat customers as people but not portray ourselves as people? This seems counter productive.

Conclusion

B2P as a philosophy and at a basic level is valid across both B2B and B2C audiences.

But there are still many differences between B2C and B2B – Social Media alone does not justify homogenous approach.

Especially as with more tools becoming available and Social activity fragmenting, B2B and B2C marketers are likely to be riding very different trends. Recognising this, and staying on top of those trends, now that is evolved marketing.

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4 Responses to “Are B2B and B2C Dead? Is It Now All About B2P?”

  1. Chris Williams Says:
    May 28th, 2011 at 10:49 am

    Excellent viewpoint, totally agree we mustn’t get carried away with Social – many differences remain and ‘traditional’ media still has it’s place.

  2. Kathlyn Staudinger Says:
    June 13th, 2011 at 11:09 pm

    Excellent post. I was checking continuously this blog and I am impressed! Extremely helpful info specifically the last part :) I care for such info much. I was looking for this particular information for a long time. Thank you and good luck.

  3. links of london charms sale Says:
    June 23rd, 2011 at 1:59 am

    Brilliant blog posting. I found your post very interesting, I think you are a brilliant writer. I added your blog to my bookmarks and will return in the future.

  4. Alan Gayle Says:
    October 11th, 2011 at 2:31 pm

    This is a great blog post Ian, I leaned a lot from it. I agree with your conclusions.

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The Importance of Timeliness and Agility in Direct Marketing

Filed under: Direct Marketing,Marcomms,eCRM — Ian J MacDonald @ 9:03 pm

How Arsenal FC Broke a Golden Rule

It’s with sadness that I have to turn to one of my great loves for an example of poor marketing – Arsenal FC. But if we can learn lessons, let’s do just that!

For those not interested in football, Arsenal FC have been without a trophy for 6 years now. This is due to a number of factors which are not the focus of this blog, but the takeout is  that faithful fans have been putting up with the most expensive tickets in the Premier League since the move from Highbury to The Emirates and no trophies. And fans love trophies!

Arsenal Ecstasy and Agony Arsenal have had a topsy turvy season of ecstasy and agony – how does this affect their customers responsiveness?

The Lesson

To the lesson. Arsenal were having a good season this year but since losing the Carling Cup Final in February to a last minute shambles of a goal, their season has really gone to   pot. Going into a huge match against league leaders Manchester United on 1st May, they had won only 1 game in their past 9 in all competitions, and gone from a position of being   able to win 4 trophies, to being practically able to win none.  A glimmer of hope appeared   on that May Sunday when Arsenal managed to overcome the likely eventual champions Manchester United at home 1-0. A massive result that gave the Arsenal faithful something  to smile about for the first time in months. Perhaps this season’s collapse was a blip. Perhaps manager Arsene Wenger’s ‘youth policy’ really will bear fruit soon.

Sadly, the following Sunday Arsenal were soundly beaten by Stoke of all teams, 3-1 in a timid and shambolic performance.

Timeliness of Communications

So if you were in charge of sending out membership and season ticket renewal packs (with the cheery news of a 6.5% price hike), when would you time your communication? If you answered immediately after the crushing final nail in the coffin at Stoke, we need to talk.

The point is, there was a time less than a week earlier when the audience were feeling positive. They were feeling receptive to the club and the way it is run. That was the window of opportunity to maximise response and renewals.

Influence the Things You Can

As marketers, it’s vital that we are flexible in our approach. We need to be planning direct communications in windows wherever possible, not fixed dates. Because we just can’t control macro factors or even some micro factors which have an influence on our audience’s receptiveness.

The golden rules of direct marketing are there for a reason – because they increase ROI. Relevant, Targeted, Timely. This was relevant. This was targeted. But it wasn’t timely.

The window of receptiveness in this case was the 7 days following the Manchester United game.   Presumably however, the comms plan said a certain date for renewal packs and that date was stuck to. Rigidly. That’s not evolved marketing.

Evolved marketing is making sure you have the set up in place to react and tailor plans as much as possible because you never know what is coming, and you certainly can’t control it. Of course, it is not always so easy in practice. Lead times and in the case of Direct Mail postal time are difficult to account for. It’s not practical to tear up your carefully cultivated creatives over every occurrence. Nor should you, maybe it’s just a copy tweak that’s required or a slight timing change. But wherever possible, make your plans agile and flexible. Take account of factors affecting the success of you campaign whether you control them or not. You never know when that window of opportunity for a killer relevant, timely communication will appear – or disappear, as Arsenal FC found out. When it appears, be set up to dive through that window. When it disappears, think again before you pull the trigger on that campaign.

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One Response to “The Importance of Timeliness and Agility in Direct Marketing”

  1. Michael Chambers Says:
    May 23rd, 2011 at 12:43 pm

    Could not agree more, makes perfect sense. Maybe you could pop into the Emirates and advise them on this, and also have a word with Mr Wenger about spending a little cash this summer – it’s not your money Arsene.

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